Articles

Iran’s Strategic Outlook on U.S. Relations in a Shifting Middle East

This article examines the evolving dynamics of the U.S.-Iran relations in light of recent geopolitical shifts, particularly after October 7, 2023. Despite enduring hostility, both countries are increasingly favoring discreet diplomacy over open confrontation. Iran, weakened regionally, is recalibrating its strategy around more pragmatic objectives. Meanwhile, Washington adopts a posture of calibrated deterrence within a rapidly changing Middle East. This new context presents a narrow yet critical window for indirect but potentially lasting de-escalation.


Lyna Ouandjeli

6th June 2025

CFRI Analysis

Israel-Iran: The Shadow of a War under American Surveillance

This article analyzes the intensifying confrontation between Israel and Iran in the wake of the June 13, 2025 Israeli strikes on Iranian territory. Drawing on insights from Dr. Adel Bakawan and Dr. F. Gregory Gause III, it examines Israel’s evolving military strategy, marked by a phased approach aimed first at degrading Iran’s air defenses, and ultimately at targeting its nuclear infrastructure.


Lyna Ouandjeli

13th June 2025

News

The Possible Impact of France’s Recognition of the State of Palestine: A Geopolitical and Legal Analysis

The announced recognition of the State of Palestine by France in September 2025 marks a major diplomatic turning point, at the intersection of international law and geopolitical balances. It responds to an unprecedented collective initiative and could revive the debate on the two-state solution, weakened by the war in Gaza and the expansion of Israeli settlements. Legally, Palestine partially meets the criteria of statehood but remains weakened by its internal divisions. International reactions are divided: categorical rejection by Israel and the United States, but enthusiastic support from the Palestinian side as well as several European and Arab countries. Between symbolic significance and strategic uncertainty, this French decision could reshape diplomatic dynamics without guaranteeing concrete progress on the ground.


Lyna Ouandjeli

21st August 2025

CFRI Analysis

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