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Will the Middle East be Falling Apart by 2025? TV5MONDEinfo

News

Author

Adel Bakawan

Adel Bakawan

Rebroadcast of TV5MONDEinfo from 23/12/2025

Chapters

0:00 Intro — Adel Bakawan & “The Breakdown of the Middle East”

0:34 Oct 7th as a historic rupture

1:22 2025: “winners & losers” in the region

2:06 The balance of power after Oct 7 2:52 Abraham Accords questioned; Palestinian issue returns

4:59 Recognition of Palestine & France’s initiative

5:47 Who governs after? Crisis of legitimacy & succession

6:59 Israel’s military response & the lack of political horizon

9:10 Iran: not the “mastermind” of Oct 7? Survival logic

10:41 Egypt’s decline; shifting regional centers of gravity

14:22 Lebanon: reconstruction, Hezbollah, and conditions

15:25 2026 outlook: Turkey/PKK, Tel Aviv–Tehran, Trump factor

16:45 Europe’s role—spectator or actor?

17:31 “Decomposition” of the Middle East—final takeaways

18:35 Outro & book mention

“A Highly Symbolic Withdrawal”: What Changes as the Anti-ISIS Coalition’s Military Mission in Iraq Ends

October 2, 2026

INTERVIEW. As the international coalition’s military mission against Islamic State in Iraq officially comes to an end on September 30, Adel Bakawan, director of the European Institute for Middle East and North Africa Studies, examines the announced departure of American troops. Interview by Julie Malo. Published on September 30, 2026, at 5:00 p.m. in Le Point.

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