Why Regime Change in Iran Wasn’t on the Table: Washington’s Calculated Caution?
Despite the upheaval and uncertainty surrounding the recent “12-Day War” between Iran and Israel, a central question remains: why did neither the United States (U.S.) nor Israel adopt regime change in Iran as an explicit objective, despite widespread expectations to the contrary? This analysis addresses that question. Since the Islamic Republic’s establishment in 1979, the 12-Day […]
What Does Mark Savaya Reveal About the Iraqi-American Relationship?
The appointment of Mark Savaya as U.S. Special Envoy to Iraq in October 2025 reflects an effort by the Trump administration to reinforce Iraqi–American relations amid regional instability. Officially aimed at supporting Iraq’s stability and reconstruction, it also signals a U.S. intention to counter Iran-linked Shiite militias. While Savaya’s Iraqi background has drawn attention, questions remain about whether his role can genuinely rebuild trust and sovereignty or instead reflects continued U.S. influence, highlighting broader shifts in Iraq–U.S. relations.
Post-election Iraq: Internal Reconfigurations and U.S.–Iran Rivalries
Outgoing Prime Minister al-Sudani Between a Positive Record and Political Fragility While his Coalition for Reconstruction and Development (Al-Ima’ar wal-Tanmiya) came out ahead in terms of seats, Mohammed Shia al-Sudani is seeking a second term as prime minister. Iraqi society certainly nourishes deep mistrust toward the state and its political elites, regularly accused of poor […]
The consequences of triggering the Snapback mechanism on Iran: a return to square one or the chronicle of a foretold collapse?
“I pray to God that I never come to know the economy,” a statement attributed to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in 2007, President of Iran (2005–2009). “Those who view the economy as the foundation of everything consider Man as an animal. […] The foundation of an animal is its economy. […] The foundation of a donkey is also its economy,” remarks […]
Turkey: Internal Challenges and International Ambitions
At the end of 2024, Turkey entered a complex process, often difficult to decipher: in autumn, Ankara suddenly initiated an attempt to find a political solution to the Kurdish question. Far from being a fleeting or illusory effort, within a few months, this initiative led to the dissolution of the PKK, after its leader, Abdullah […]